The Uses and Limits of IntelligenceTransaction Publishers, 01/01/1993 - 404 من الصفحات Never before has intelligence played such a critical role in life and death policy decisions. Whether it is a question of monitoring compliance by hostile nations with arms control efforts, assessing foreign intervention in civil wars, or determining fundamentalist involvement in terrorist organizations, vital decisions depend on the quality of the intelligence at the disposal of policymakers. In this pathbreaking volume, originally released in 1986 under the title A World of Secrets, Walter Laqueur examines the basic questions: How good is intelligence-and even more important-how well has it been evaluated and presented? What can be done to improve it? And what inherent limits of intelligence must we learn to live with? In a brilliant new opening essay, the author brings these questions to bear in a post-Soviet environment, raising uncomfortable questions about how profoundly in error the intelligence community and its social scientific sources were throughout the Cold War epoch. The Uses and Limits of Intelligence is a major survey and assessment of U.S. intelligence activites over the last forty-fi ve years. It offers a systematic and authoritative evaluation of American intelligence-gathering machinery: how it has been used, misused, and on occasion, ignored. Based on meticulous analysis of hitherto inaccessible material, as well as personal interviews with leading policy-makers and figures in the intelligence community, this volume takes a probing look at how various U. S. agencies that produce political, military, economic, and scientific intelligence go about their jobs. The Uses and Limits of Intelligence has been hailed as "a splendid work, reflective and penetrating" by James R. Schlesinger; while Zbigniew Brzezinski described Laqueur as "a man who understands the relationship between history and the world of secret services." Henry S. Rowen noted that Laqueur "brings a rare degree of analytical power to this important subject." |
المحتوى
Introduction | 3 |
The Production of Intelligence | 15 |
Economic and Scientific Intelligence | 38 |
Intelligence and Its Customers | 71 |
Early Experiences and LaterDay Trials | 110 |
The Missile Gap Controversy and the Cuban Missile Crisis | 139 |
Vietnam and the Case of the Missing Missiles | 171 |
Secret Services in Open Societies | 201 |
The Antagonists KGB and GRU | 233 |
The Causes of Failure | 255 |
Craft or Science? | 293 |
The Future of Intelligence | 311 |
NOTES | 345 |
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS | 393 |
| 395 | |
طبعات أخرى - عرض جميع المقتطفات
عبارات ومصطلحات مألوفة
activities agents air force Allen Dulles American intelligence analysis arms assessment believe bombing British intelligence buildup bureaucratic capabilities CIA's collection Committee Communist countries covert action crisis Cuba Cuban Cuban missile crisis deception decision Defense Department deployment director Eisenhower enemy espionage evaluation fact forecasts foreign policy frequently gence German HUMINT important intelligence agencies intelligence analysts intelligence community intelligence failures intelligence services internal major McCone military intelligence missile gap Mossad National Intelligence Estimates National Security nuclear Office operations organization policy makers predicted President problems production reconnaissance regime reports result role Russian satellite secrecy secret services Senate sess SIGINT situation SNIE sources South Vietnam Soviet ICBM Soviet intelligence Soviet military Soviet missile Soviet Union Sovietology spies Stalin strategic success surprise technical intelligence tion U.S. intelligence United Viet Cong Washington Western World World War II York
مقاطع مشهورة
الصفحة xi - Those scenarios are possible but most unlikely. What has been built through generations with much blood, sacrifice, ruthlessness, cunning and conviction, will not simply disintegrate or radically change because of critical problems. In the coming succession the Soviet Union may face a leadership crisis and an economic crisis, but it does not now and in all probability will not in the next decade face a systemic crisis that endangers its existence.
الصفحة ix - ... hands and relax a bit. In just this way, we are now witnessing a growing yearning for a quiet life and for comfort — even a kind of "comfort cult" — on all levels of our society, particularly at the top and in the middle. If, however, one views the present "liberalization...