Mapping Policy Preferences from Texts: Statistical Solutions for Manifesto Analysts
Andrea Volkens, Judith Bara, Ian Budge, Michael D. McDonald, Hans-Dieter Klingemann
OUP Oxford, 2013 - 326 sivua
The Manifesto data are the only comprehensive set of policy indicators for social, economic and political research. It is thus vital that their quality is established. The purpose of this book is to review methodological issues that have got in the way of straightforwardly using the Manifesto data since our two preceding volumes were published and to resolve them in ways which best serve users and textual analysts in general. The book is thus generally about text-based quantitative analysis with a particular focus on the quality of the CMP-MARPOR data and ways of assessing and using them, In doing so the book goes beyond normal data documentation - essential though that is - to confront the analytic issues faced by users of the data now distributed by MARPOR. It also provides concrete strategies for tackling these at the research level, with examples from the field of political representation. The problems of uncertainty, error, reliability and validity considered here are generic issues for political analysts in any area of research, so the book has an interest extending beyond the Manifesto estimates themselves - in particular to other textual analyses. In addition the book widens the range of applications introduced in our two previous volumes and discusses the extension of the manifesto project database to cover Latin America.
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Validated Authoritative Indispensable The Manifesto Estimates in Political Research
Validity Guarantees Reliability High Reliability Limits Error
Delivering Quality Data CollectionCodingControlsCommunication
Exploiting the Multilevel Estimates to Study Representation Comparatively
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absolute citizen congruence absolute median citizen analyses applied belonging to Party Benoit et Benoit-Laver Budge centrism Chapter coders coding categories comparability comparison congruence measures consensus democracy content analytical content unit context correlation CSES database dataset decommodification democracy Democratic Revolutionary Party distribution election electoral Eurobarometer evaluation ideological indicators inferences issues Klingemann kurtosis left-right positions left-right scale Manifesto data Manifesto estimates manifesto left-right scores Manifesto Project MARPOR McDonald measures of party median citizen congruence median party supporter Mikhaylov models MPDb original overall parties or countries party competition party family party manifestos party placements party policy positions party positions Party Probability party’s policy document policy preferences political postdict Probability of belonging procedures programmatic profile programmes quasi-sentences recoded regression relative citizen congruence reliability representation RILE salience SdaP standard errors statistical Table users validity variables variance yes yes yes