L'estime des apparences: 21 manuscrits de Leibniz sur les probabilités, la théorie des jeux, l'espérance de vie

Etukansi
Au terme de son voyage a Paris, Leibniz consacre plusieurs manuscrits au nouveau calcul des probabilites en plein essor. Parallelement aux recherches theoriques (sur le probleme des des, le probleme des partis, l'esperance mathematique), l'analyse des jeux a la mode (le quiquenove, la bassette, le solitaire) puis de l'esperance de vie nous revelent que le point de vue n'est pas ici celui d'un mathematicien mais d'un logicien et, avant la lettre, d'un theoricien des jeux. Dans les vingt et un textes que rassemble ce volume, la logique de l'erreur se mele a quelques grandes lecons philosophiques sur le hasard, toujours seulement apparent.
 

Sisältö

Introduction
7
Sur linterprétation les raisons lapplication et
34
Sur les loteries 1696 LH XXXIV 12 f 5051
50
Imprimerie de la Manutention à Mayenne
57
Nombre de faces dans les lancers de dés problème
73
Sur le calcul des partis 7 janvier 1676 LH XXXV III
103
Septembre 1678 LH XXXV III A 12
147
Du jeu de la Bassette 1678 LH XXXV III A 8
211
Sur lestime des rentes viagères De Aestimatione Redi
283
Rentes personnelles LH II V 2 f 23 Leibrenten II
331
LH II V 2 f 1422 B LH
339
Exemple de recherche mathématique et politique
367
Rentes viagères De Reditibus ad vitam 1680
383
Méditation juridicomathématique sur les intérêts
395
Compagnie du bonheur Avril 1696 LH II V 2 f 4750
421
Question posée par le duc de Roannez LH XXXV XII
433

Le jeu du Solitaire 1678 LH XXXV III A 10
239
Divinations arithmétiques Divinationes arithmeticae
253
Sur les tontines LH II V 2 f 45
439
Tekijänoikeudet

Yleiset termit ja lausekkeet

Viitteet tähän teokseen

Tietoja kirjailijasta (1995)

Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz, one of the last real polymaths, was born in Leipzig. Educated there and at the Universities at Jena and Altdorf, he then served as a diplomat for the Elector of Mainz and was sent to Paris, where he lived for a few years and came into contact with leading scientists, philosophers, and theologians. During a trip to England, he was elected to the Royal Society; he made a visit to Holland to meet Spinoza. Back in Germany he became librarian to the Duke of Brunswick, whose library was the largest in Europe outside the Vatican. From there he became involved in government affairs in Hanover and later settled in Berlin at the court of Queen Sophie Charlotte of Prussia. Leibniz was involved in the diplomatic negotiations that led to the Hanoverian succession to the English throne. From his university days he showed an interest in mathematics, logic, physics, law, linguistics, and history, as well as theology and practical political affairs. He discovered calculus independently of Newton and had a protracted squabble about which of them should be given credit for the achievement. The developer of much of what is now modern logic, he discovered some important physical laws and offered a physical theory that is close to some twentieth-century conceptions. Leibniz was interested in developing a universal language and tried to master the elements of all languages. Leibniz corresponded widely with scholars all over Europe and with some Jesuit missionaries in China. His philosophy was largely worked out in answer to those of other thinkers, such as Locke, Malebranche, Bayle, and Arnauld. Although he published comparatively little during his lifetime, Leibniz left an enormous mass of unpublished papers, drafts of works, and notes on topics of interest. His library, which has been preserved, contains annotations, analyses, and often refutations of works he read. The project of publishing all of his writings, undertaken in the 1920s by the Prussian Academy, was delayed by World War II but was resumed thereafter. It is not likely that the project will be completed in the twentieth century.

Kirjaluettelon tiedot